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声呐第二悖论——不确定海洋环境中的灵敏-鲁棒冲突

The second sonar paradox: the sensitivity–robustness conflict in uncertain ocean environments

  • 摘要: 为提升水下弱目标探测能力,声呐系统设计正从“硬件对抗”转向依赖匹配场处理等高灵敏算法。这一转变揭示出一个深层困境:在动态不确定的海洋环境中,追求高灵敏性会因环境失配引发“性能悬崖”,而追求高鲁棒性则会淹没弱目标信号,此即“声呐第二悖论——灵敏-鲁棒冲突”。文章通过构建“不确定性与不确实性”理论框架,将问题根源界定于“未知的未知”,并建立数学模型,推导出受不确实性制约的核心性能边界。该研究从环境目标属性、系统设计范式及数学病态性三个层面,论证了该悖论在传统框架下的不可解性。为此,文章提出了以“目标-环境联合估计”与“熵驱正则化”为双支柱的协同破解路径,最终构建了“认知协同”范式及其闭环工作机制,为实现动态环境中灵敏与鲁棒的统一提供了理论系统框架,标志着声呐技术从“静态对抗”到“动态认知”的范式革命。

     

    Abstract: To enhance the detection capability for weak underwater targets, sonar system design is shifting from a "hardware-centric" approach toward high-sensitivity algorithms such as matched-field processing. This transition, however, reveals a profound dilemma: in dynamically uncertain ocean environments, the pursuit of high sensitivity leads to a "performance cliff" caused by environmental mismatch, while the pursuit of high robustness inevitably suppresses faint target signals. This fundamental trade-off is formally defined as "The Second Sonar Paradox: the Sensitivity–Robustness Conflict." By establishing a theoretical framework that distinguishes between uncertainty and unmeasurability, this paper identifies the root cause of the paradox as "unknown unknowns," and develops a mathematical model to derive a core performance bound constrained by unmeasurability. The study demonstrates the inherent unsolvability of this paradox within conventional paradigms from three perspectives: the intrinsic properties of the environment and target, the rigidity of traditional system design, and the ill-posed nature of the underlying mathematical problems. To overcome this impasse, we propose a collaborative resolution strategy built upon two pillars: joint target en dash environment estimation and entropy-driven regularization. Building on this, we formulate the "Cognitive Collaboration" paradigm and its closed-loop operational mechanism, providing a comprehensive theoretical and systemic framework for unifying high sensitivity and high robustness in dynamic environments. This work marks a paradigm shift in sonar technology—from "static confrontation" to "dynamic cognition."

     

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